Los ntawm Ntiaj Teb Cov Khoom Noj Qab Haus Huv Trade Desk|Lub Yim Hli 21, 2026
Kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb khov bonito tau pom tias muaj qhov ua tau zoo tshaj plaws thiab tau dhau los ua qhov kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb ntawm xyoo 2025 thiab 2026, nrog cov kev lis kev cai tshiab thiab cov ntaub ntawv luam tawm qhia txog kev ua lag luam nyuaj thiab muaj txiaj ntsig zoo los ntawm ntau qhov chaw muab khoom, hloov cov qauv kev xav tau hauv cheeb tsam, thiab kev sib cais tshwj xeeb ntawm tib neeg kev noj zaub mov thiab kev lag luam{2}. Tsis zoo li ntau cov khoom lag luam nqaij nruab deg uas tau tswj hwm los ntawm ib tus neeg xa khoom lossis cheeb tsam, khov bonito (HS code 030343) tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm ntau yam -polar mov qauv hla Asia, Latin America, thiab Pacific, tsim kom muaj ib puag ncig kev lag luam uas muaj nqi, cov qauv zoo, thiab cov kev cai tswj kev sib txawv ntawm cov khoom xa tuaj.
Supply-Side Diversity: Ntau Export Hubs Sib Tw rau Kev Sib Koom Ua Lag Luam
Cov ntaub ntawv kev txawj ntse ua lag luam tau pom nyob thoob plaws lub tebchaws xa tawm loj tshaj tawm qhia txog thaj chaw xa khoom sib cais rau cov khov tag nrho - puag ncig bonito. Tuam Tshoj, Nyab Laj, Panama, Ecuador, Nyiv, thiab Peru txhua tus tuav txoj haujlwm tseem ceeb ntawm kev xa tawm, txhua qhov ua haujlwm sib txawv hauv cheeb tsam nrog cov ntsiab lus sib txawv thiab cov khoom tshwj xeeb. Tuam Tshoj txoj haujlwm xa tawm qhia tau hais tias muaj kev cuam tshuam zoo ib yam nyob rau xyoo 2026, nrog cov qauv kev lag luam sau tseg hauv Lub Ob Hlis nqa cov nqi ntawm $ 1.14 txog $ 1.95 toj ib kg, feem ntau yog rau cov neeg yuav khoom Philippine. Cov nqi no qhia txog Tuam Tshoj txoj kev sib tw ua lag luam nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Esxias kev ua lag luam, qhov twg kev them taus tseem yog tus tsav tsheb tseem ceeb rau kev ntim khoom- taw qhia kev yuav khoom.
Nyiv nthuav tawm qhov sib txawv ntawm cov khoom siv, nrog rau 2024 cov ntaub ntawv xa tawm uas qhia tag nrho cov khoom xa tawm ntawm kwv yees li 36 lab kilograms muaj nqis tshaj $ 47 lab. Nyiv cov khoom xa tawm feem ntau ntws mus rau Thaib teb, Philippines, thiab Indonesia, nrog cov nqi them nqi txij li $ 5.18 txog $ 5.87 ib phaus hauv cov qauv 2025 kev pauv. Qhov kev sib txawv ntawm tus nqi tseem ceeb no piv rau cov khoom xa tawm hauv Suav teb qhia ntau dua - cov khoom lag luam tus nqi tshwj xeeb, yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam txog kev muab qhab nia zoo dua, kev ua kom txias dua - kev tswj xyuas saw, thiab kev lees paub cov khoom lag luam muaj zog hauv cov lag luam Esxias.
Kaus lim qab teb txoj haujlwm xa tawm yog qhov tseem ceeb tshwj xeeb, nrog rau xyoo 2024 cov khoom xa tawm mus txog kwv yees li 160 lab kilograms muaj nqis ntawm $ 190 lab. Kev lag luam Thaib tau nqus cov khoom lag luam loj tshaj plaws ntawm ntau dua 97 lab kilograms, tom qab ntawd Tuam Tshoj ze li 35 lab kilograms thiab Nyab Laj ntau dua 8 lab kilograms. Qhov kev ntsuas loj no ua rau Kaus Lim Qab Teb ua tus xa khoom loj thoob ntiaj teb hauv kev lag luam khov bonito, leveraging nws cov nkoj nuv ntses siab heev thiab kev tsim kho vaj tse. Peru txoj kev lag luam xa tawm kuj tau qhia txog kev loj hlob hauv cov ntim khov khov, thaum Ecuador cov khoom lag luam ntshuam hauv xyoo 2024 tau txog ntau dua 31 lab kilograms uas muaj nuj nqis ze li $ 39 lab, qhia txog Latin America lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv kev lag luam khov bonito.
Xaus-Siv Segmentation: Tib Neeg Kev Noj Qab Haus Huv vs. Pet Food Divide
Ib qho tshwj xeeb ntawm kev lag luam khov bonito yog nws qhov kawg bifurcated -siv kev lag luam. Cov ntaub ntawv kev lis kev cai tsis tu ncua qhia cov khoom xa tuaj qhia meej tias "tsis yog rau tib neeg noj" thiab raug xaiv rau cov ntawv thov zaub mov tsiaj, ib qho segmentation uas cuam tshuam rau cov khoom tshwj xeeb, kev ntim khoom, txias - cov qauv saw, thiab tus nqi rhiab heev. Ib qho piv txwv tseem ceeb yog US importer J Deluca Fish Company, uas tau sau ntau yam khoom xa tuaj ntawm 2025 los ntawm Panama-raws li Salva Mar SA nrog cov khoom lag luam cim qhia meej tias "NO FISH YUAV SIV RAU PET US, Tsis yog rau tib neeg siv." Cov khoom xa tuaj no feem ntau suav nrog tag nrho cov puag ncig bonito khaws cia ntawm -18 degree, nrog cov khoom xa tuaj ntawm 23,600 kilograms mus rau ntau dua 47,000 kilograms ib lub thawv. Cov ntawv sau meej meej no qhia txog kev tswj hwm kev ua raws cai thiab cov saw hlau pob tshab rau cov khoom nkag mus rau cov khoom tsis yog khoom noj.
Los ntawm qhov sib txawv, tib neeg kev lag luam xav tau ntau dua - cov khoom lag luam zoo, kev tswj hwm histamine nruj dua muab bonito qhov cuam tshuam rau scombrotoxin tsim, nruj dua txias- kev tswj cov saw hlau, thiab txhim kho cov ntaub ntawv traceability. Ecuador tus cwj pwm kev ua lag luam hais txog cov kev cia siab no nrog rau cov ntaub ntawv yuav tsum tau ua, cuam tshuam cov qauv hwm xav tau los ntawm cov zaub mov- qib cov neeg yuav khoom.
Asian Demand Dynamics: Philippine thiab Thaib Ntshuam Loj hlob
Philippine cov neeg yuav khoom tseem ua haujlwm nyob rau hauv khov bonito kev yuav khoom, nrog ntau qhov kev lag luam 2026 tau sau tseg los ntawm cov neeg muag khoom hauv Suav. Lub Philippines-raws li tus neeg yuav khoom fb rlgy kev lag luam dej hiav txwv nuv ntses ua tiav peb qhov kev hloov pauv thaum ntxov 2026 ib leeg, nrog rau kev xa khoom suav nrog Lub Ob Hlis 7, 2026 kev xa khoom ntawm 29,400 kilograms muaj nqis kwv yees li $ 3.38 lab. Nyab Laj kuj tau muab cov neeg yuav khoom no nrog cov khoom lag luam ntses khov tag nrho thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2025, uas cuam tshuam txog ntau yam -sourcing txoj hauv kev tau txais los ntawm cov neeg xa khoom loj los tswj cov khoom txaus ntshai thiab txhim kho tus nqi. Thaib txoj haujlwm yog qhov chaw tseem ceeb rau Nyiv thiab Kaus Lim Qab Teb bonito exports underscores Southeast Asia lub luag hauj lwm raws li ob qho tib si kev lag luam noj thiab ua lag luam rau tus nqi - ntxiv cov khoom xws li bonito flakes, cov kaus poom, thiab cov zaub mov khov.
Kev Lag Luam Outlook thiab Kev Sib Tw
Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas kev lag luam txuas ntxiv kev loj hlob hauv cov khoom lag luam khov bonito los ntawm lig 2026 thiab mus rau 2027, tau tsav los ntawm tus nqi pheej yig piv rau cov tsiaj tuna thiab nthuav cov ntawv thov hauv cov khoom noj khoom haus, cov zaub mov tsiaj, thiab cov khoom noj khoom haus aquaculture. Cov ntses muaj ntau yam, kev noj zaub mov zoo, thiab kev sib tw nqi ua rau nws muaj kev xaiv zoo rau cov neeg lag luam thiab cov neeg muag khoom muag thoob plaws Asia thiab Latin America. Txawm li cas los xij, cov teeb meem tseem ceeb tseem muaj. Tus nqi dav dav thoob plaws cov khoom siv sib txawv-los ntawm Tuam Tshoj tus kwv yees $ 1.14 ib kilogram mus rau Nyiv tus kwv yees $ 5.87 ib kilogram ntau yam - qhia txog kev ua lag luam tsis tu ncua thiab cov qauv zoo sib txawv uas cuam tshuam cov neeg yuav khoom txiav txim siab- ua. Muaj peev xwm hloov cov nqi se, nce nqi roj thiab kev thauj mus los, nce kev soj ntsuam xyuas ntawm cov qib histamine, thiab cov ntaub ntawv khaws cia nruj dua tuaj yeem hloov pauv kev lag luam ntws thiab cuam tshuam cov txiaj ntsig txiaj ntsig rau cov neeg xa khoom tsim.
Cov ntaub ntawv nthuav dav rau 2025-2026 pleev xim rau daim duab ntawm kev paub tab tab sis hloov zuj zus khov bonito kev lag luam uas muaj ntau haiv neeg, kawg-siv segmentation, thiab cov qauv kev thov hauv cheeb tsam tsim ob qho tib si tseem ceeb thiab cov teeb meem tseem ceeb rau cov neeg xa khoom thiab cov neeg xa khoom mus rau cov khoom lag luam nqaij nruab deg thoob ntiaj teb no. Raws li kev tsim khoom muaj peev xwm hloov kho thiab cov qauv siv txuas ntxiv mus ntxiv, kev lag luam khov bonito zoo li qhov chaw zoo rau kev txhawb nqa, yog tias tsis sib npaug, nthuav dav thoob plaws nws ntau ntu kev lag luam.
